Dude, maybe I'm just a bit bummed out by the death of the guy who says "Crikey!" but I really think fellow Aussie Toby Rand is about to win the spot alongside Tommy Lee, Gilby Clarke and the bitter-beer face that is Jason Newsted in season No. 2 of Rock Star.

Toby doesn't have the vocal ability of a Dilana or the stage presence of Lukas Rossi and Storm Large (what are these, porn names?), but he's got two intangibles.

First, Toby can write a competent song, which he showcased tonight. I think it was called "Chemical Dreamin," and it featured whoa-ohs and a damn catchy chorus. Truth is, I think I liked Lukas' song, "Head Spinning," better than the others, but I know quite well that Toby's was by far the most commercial.

Second, he literally is the guy girls want and guys want to be. Lukas is the short guy at school who cuts himself and writes dark poetry. Dilana is the really smart, talented girl at school who smokes and drinks to make the intellectual playing field even amongst her lesser peers. Storm is the chick who's got talent but sleeps around for attention. Magni, in my opinion, is kind of the poseur.

From a business perspective, Supernova would almost be silly to hire anybody else. They'll sell a ton of tix from women, and we know how much Tommy Lee likes women. Honestly, I don't see Supernova as being as "serious" a band as Lukas would like, and besides, they just don't "look" like a match.

Dilana has proven herself to be a pain in the butt the past few weeks, and those guys don't need that. Besides, tonight's songwriting showcase proved her to be a mediocre songwriter compared to the others (although I completely disagree with Gilby relative to lyric writing).

Magni clearly longs for his wife and kids back in Iceland, and what sort of rock-n-roll vibe does that put on when Tommy Lee needs some lovin'?

Lastly, the band couldn't pick Storm. While tonight was probably her best night of the competition, and her original song was excellent, particularly lyrically, it's just not a visual match. Not close.

Supernova is comprised of three mid-30s to 40-something dudes looking to regain a little youthful glory. Mate, there's only one guy to take with you on that journey.

The one with whom you'll have the most fun.

If my hunch is the case relative to how the band is approaching the last two weeks of the competition, this thing is all but a done deal.

On the point about songwriting, Gilby chastised Dilana for being too literal. He wanted something more conceptual and imaginative. To me, that leads to sappy, mean-nothing love songs.

I wanna touch your heart like an angel

That's what that leads to.

Now, you don't want to pen something like I wanna touch your heart like Kobe touched that girl, although that's really pretty funny ... uh, if you think rape is funny. I don't. Seriously.

I guess my point is simply that too many lyrics are generic. The band Clutch has featured original songs about elephant riders, the Civil War and snowmen. Lyrically, does it really get any better than Just outside of Antietam, where once there was a mighty battle, I heard the rhythm of the hammers beating the rail lines together???

So, while he's right to encourage Dilana to write imaginatively, the descriptive literal -- I think -- is often poetic at times, and that's why country has been so damned popular in America all these many years. It's an art form built on the descriptive literal.