While I am not a big believer that the Oklahoma Sooners will survive Lubbock in two weeks, I still realize we have a shot at the national title. But what has to happen for us to get a shot in the championship game?

Yes, we have to win. One more loss, and the national title dream is over. It's like we are in the playoffs now and cannot lose again.

However, OU is ranked No. 5 in the BCS right now. Ohio State tops the list, with LSU in second. Oregon is third, and Kansas (egad, Kansas!?) is fourth. We have to jump three of them to get a spot in the Jan. 7 BCS title game in New Orleans.

Either Ohio State or LSU must lose, and preferably LSU. Why? They already have one loss, and a first loss for the Buckeyes might not knock them out of title contention, particularly if they lose to a surging Michigan team. In other words, don't get too excited rooting for the Wolverines in a couple of weeks.

This means LSU must lose, and it's totally possible, particularly as close as their games have been recently. However, they won't lose to Louisiana Tech this week, nor will they fall to Ole Miss in Oxford, Miss., the next week. This means we must root for Arkansas big time on Nov. 23.

If that doesn't happen, we have to hope for a loss in the SEC title game. But it's totally possible, and in fact, I'm not sure that it won't happen.

As great as Oregon has been playing recently, you might think they have no shot at losing. Well, they play Arizona in Tucson, UCLA in Pasadena and Oregon State to finish out their regular season. You know who I think is dangerous there?

Arizona. They've been coming on as of late. They beat UCLA last week, and Mike Stoops knows this would help OU tremendously. No, the Wildcats won't be playing for the Sooners, but Mike is a go-for-it sort of guy. If Oregon is snoozin', they might be losin' that game.

OK, if either Oregon or LSU loses, or if they both lose, then what else do we need to happen?

Simple. Kansas must win.

They must beat OSU this week, and hopefully, they do it handily. They must beat Missouri, and I am hoping for a rout. But, then we must crush them in the Big 12 title game in San Antonio.

Given that Oklahoma's primary flaw in the BCS standings right now is in its computer score, and given that Kansas' primary strength right now in those standings is its computer score, the Sooners could theoretically jump both LSU and Oregon in a final poll if Kansas wins out and OU wins convincingly.

Kansas jumped from No. 8 to No. 4 this week on the strength of its 76-39 win over Nebraska in Lawrence last week. The computers have them at .8800 and us at .7400, and it's the only reason they're ahead of us in the BCS standings.

In fact, Oklahoma kills them in the Harris and coaches' poll portion of the formula. By this logic, we would stay super high in those two facets of the BCS with a convincing win over Kansas in the Big 12 title game.

However, if they're undefeated when we play them, they'll probably be No. 3 or No. 2 in the BCS come time for the Big 12 title game. Seriously. They might not jump LSU, but they can jump Oregon before Dec. 1.

If that's the case, and OU wins, let's say, 38-17, we'll at least have a shot for No. 2 in the BCS standings, which would mean a national title date versus Ohio State on Jan. 7. Even if LSU and Oregon win out, Kansas' computer strength is so far ahead of ours that given the CPU's weight on impressive victories, which this would be, we could vault just like the Jayhawks did this week.

To make it certain, we should hope for LSU and Oregon to lose. No doubt. If we have to pick either-or, hope for LSU to lose because I think we can pass Oregon without the loss.

Now, Oklahoma must win out. No doubt about that, but outside of that, the most important thing we need right now is for Kansas to win and win big. The Jayhawks play Oklahoma State this week, and every Sooners fan needs to hope KU blows them out.

Sorry my orange-clad brethren. It's just business.